政治不稳定直接冲击经济预期。企业家的决策依赖对未来的判断：投资建厂，是因为相信几年后能收回成本；雇佣员工、签订合同，也是基于规则稳定的预期。但如果政府频繁更替、政策朝令夕改、法律难以预期，企业家自然选择观望。
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The hidden cost of promises，详情可参考搜狗输入法2026
La Liga has El Clásico, France has Le Classique, and Argentina goes full gun with its Superclásico. English football has no true equivalent, with Liverpool and Manchester United fans unable to agree on a name for their grand-slam meetings. Up in the land of fitba, there’s this weekend’s 450th Old Firm/Glasgow derby (delete as applicable according to your stringency on Scottish company law). And Germany has Der Klassiker, between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund. The Bundesliga marketing suits have been out in force this week for the one game, played on Saturday evening, that brings extra eyeballs. Though questions are often raised over whether this is a true, classic rivalry; Dortmund have not won a league title since Jürgen Klopp was making his rounds in 2012.
But there are growing questions about whether the challenges he is facing could be here to stay.